Texas 2024 Presidential Poll Tracker

UpdatedOctober 8 2024: Added New York Time/Sienna College poll.

Texas Presidential Election Polling (Trump-Harris)

Poll Field Dates Sample Size Sample MOE Trump Harris Spread
Public Policy Polling (Clean and Prosperous America PAC) 9/25-9/26/2024 759 RV 3.5% 51% 46% Trump +5
New York Times/Sienna 9/21-9/26/2024 617 LV 4.8% 50% 44% Trump +6
Emerson College Polling/The Hill/Nexstar 8/22-9/24-2024 950 LV 3.1% 51% 46% Trump +5
ActiVote 9/7-9/24/2024 400 LV 4.9% 54% 46% Trump +9
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation 9/13-9/18/2024 1200 LV 2.83% 50% 44% Trump +6
Morning Consult 9/9-9/18/2024 2716 LV   50% 45% Trump +4
Emerson College/Nexstar 9/3-9/5/2024 845 LV 3.3% 50% 46% Trump +4
Morning Consult  8/30-9/8/2024 2940 LV   52% 43% Trump +9
UT/Texas Politics Project 8/23/-8/31/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 49% 44% Trump +5
Texas Pubic Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners 8/24-8/29/2024 800 RV +/-3.5% 51% 43% Trump +8
Activote 8/14-8/31/2024 400 LV 4.9% 54.5% 45.5% Trump +9
Clean and Prosperous America PAC/Public Policy Polling 8/21-8/22/2024 725 RV 4.9% 49% 44% Trump +5
University of Houston/Texas Southern University 8/5-8/16/2024 1365 LV  2.65% 49.5% 44.6% Trump +5

 

Texas Presidential Election Polling (Trump-Biden head-to-head)

Poll Field Dates Sample Size Sample MOE Trump Biden Spread
University of Houston/Texas Southern University 6/20-7/1/24 1484 LV  2.1% 49% 40% Trump +9
Manhattan Institute 6/25-6/27/2024 600 LV 4.00% 52% 41% Trump +11
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research 6/11-6/20/2024 931 LV 3.80% 48% 43% Trump +5
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research 6/11-6/20/2024 1,144 RV 3.70% 46% 40% Trump +6
UT/Texas Politics Project 5/31-6/9/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 46% 39% Trump +7
UT/Texas Politics Project 4/12-4/22/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 48% 40% Trump +8
Texas Lyceum Poll 4/12-4/21/2024 926 RV 3.22% 41% 31% Trump +10
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation 4/5-4/10/2024 1600 LV 2.45% 46% 34% Trump +12
Marist * 3/18-3/21/2024 1117 RV 3.85% 55% 44% Trump +11
UT Tyler/Center for Opinion Research 2/18-2/26/2024 1167 RV 3.2% 46% 42% Trump +4
UT/Texas Politics Project 2/2-2/12/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 48% 41% Trump + 7
Emerson College 1/13-1/15/2024 1315 RV 2.6% 49% 41% Trump +8
U of Houston / Hobby School 1/11-1/24/2024 1145 RV 2.5% 49% 40% Trump +9
UT/Texas Politics Project 12/1-12/10/2023 1200 RV 2.83% 45% 39% Trump +6
UT/Texas Politics Project 10/5-10/17/2023 1200 RV 2.83% 45% 37% Trump +8

* Result includes force for undecideds

Past Updates

UPDATED September 23, 2024: Results from Morning Consult and Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation. (Note: Morning Consult polling has failed to provide detailed methodological information.)

UPDATED September 6, 2024: Results from Morning Consult and Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partner.

UPDATED September 6, 2024:  Results from University of Texas/Texas Politics Project and Emerson College/Nexstar.

UPDATED August 22, 2024: Results from Activote and Clean and Prosperous America PAC/Public Policy Polling.UPDATED August 22, 2024: Results from University of Houston Hobby School / Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan- Mickey Leland School Texas Trends Survey.UPDATED July 9, 2024: Results from University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research and Manhattan Institute polling.

UPDATED 23 May 2024: Results from Texas Lyceum Poll.

UPDATED16 April 2024: Added results from April 5-10 Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll.

 

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