June 14, 2023
In a new Second Reading Podcast, Jim Henson and Josh Blank talk about how the indictment of Donald Trump and Ken Paxton's impeachment might affect public opinion, and the importance of the difference in the partisan universe in Texas and the U.S.
Some context discussed in the podcast.
Donald Trump job approval trend in Texas (among Republicans and independents)
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| Poll | Approve | Disapprove | Neither/Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 2017 | 81% | 10% | 8% |
| June 2017 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| October 2017 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| February 2018 | 83% | 11% | 5% |
| June 2018 | 87% | 7% | 6% |
| October 2018 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| February 2019 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| June 2019 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| October 2019 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| February 2020 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| April 2020 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| June 2020 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| October 2020 | 90% | 8% | 2% |
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| Poll | Approve | Disapprove | Neither/Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 2017 | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| June 2017 | 47% | 41% | 11% |
| October 2017 | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| February 2018 | 49% | 37% | 13% |
| June 2018 | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| October 2018 | 39% | 43% | 17% |
| February 2019 | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| June 2019 | 46% | 39% | 15% |
| October 2019 | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| February 2020 | 36% | 47% | 17% |
| April 2020 | 34% | 47% | 18% |
| June 2020 | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| October 2020 | 31% | 53% | 15% |
Ken Paxton job approval trend in Texas (among Republicans and independents)
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| Q8D | Approve | Disapprove | Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr. 2021 | 59% | 11% | 30% |
| June 2021 | 58% | 10% | 32% |
| Aug. 2021 | 61% | 11% | 28% |
| Oct. 2021 | 65% | 12% | 23% |
| Feb. 2022 | 55% | 13% | 31% |
| Apr. 2022 | 62% | 8% | 30% |
| June 2022 | 60% | 15% | 25% |
| Aug. 2022 | 66% | 13% | 22% |
| Oct. 2022 | 65% | 12% | 24% |
| Dec. 2022 | 73% | 7% | 19% |
| Feb. 2023 | 65% | 9% | 27% |
| Apr. 2023 | 65% | 13% | 23% |
| June 2023 | 51% | 19% | 30% |
| Aug. 2023 | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Oct. 2023 | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| Dec. 2023 | 58% | 15% | 28% |
| Feb. 2024 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| Apr. 2024 | 61% | 14% | 25% |
| June 2024 | 58% | 14% | 27% |
| Aug. 2024 | 54% | 13% | 32% |
| Oct. 2024 | 57% | 13% | 31% |
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| Q8D | Approve | Disapprove | Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr. 2021 | 23% | 26% | 52% |
| June 2021 | 24% | 33% | 43% |
| Aug. 2021 | 32% | 37% | 31% |
| Oct. 2021 | 26% | 36% | 38% |
| Feb. 2022 | 22% | 38% | 41% |
| Apr. 2022 | 21% | 36% | 44% |
| June 2022 | 23% | 37% | 40% |
| Aug. 2022 | 31% | 36% | 34% |
| Oct. 2022 | 31% | 35% | 33% |
| Dec. 2022 | 34% | 43% | 23% |
| Feb. 2023 | 25% | 31% | 43% |
| Apr. 2023 | 19% | 44% | 38% |
| June 2023 | 21% | 40% | 38% |
| Aug. 2023 | 21% | 51% | 27% |
| Oct. 2023 | 20% | 53% | 26% |
| Dec. 2023 | 28% | 45% | 27% |
| Feb. 2024 | 26% | 43% | 31% |
| Apr. 2024 | 28% | 35% | 37% |
| June 2024 | 23% | 47% | 31% |
| Aug. 2024 | 24% | 37% | 40% |
| Oct. 2024 | 12% | 47% | 41% |
Donald Trump indictment (via the Associated Press)