Blog

Texas 2024 Presidential Poll Tracker

| By: Texas Politics Project

Check back for updates on all non-partisan polling of the presidential race in Texas. Most recently updated with results from April 5-10 Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll.

 

Read more...

Texas 2024 U.S. Senate Poll Tracker

| By: Texas Politics Project

Check back for updates on all non-partisan polling of the US Senate race race between incumbent U.S. Senator Ted Cruz and Democratic challenger Colin Allred.

 

Read more...

Texans’ nuanced views on abortion access are at odds with binary political labels – and with the state’s ban on abortion

| By: Jim Henson and Joshua Blank

A battery of questions in the latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll, and years of data on abortion attitudes in the state, suggest that voters view access to legal abortion with much more nuance than either our inherited labels or the monolithic positions adopted by the two parties admit. While this nuance is bipartisan, the lack of absolutist views is most notable, and most consequential, among Republican voters whose candidates must claim credit, or take blame, for engineering the rollback in abortion rights that is the new political reality in the U.S. – especially in Texas.

Read more...

Second Reading Podcast: Why broad labels fail to capture nuances in Texans' views about abortion access

| By: Texas Politics Project

Jim Henson and Josh Blank take a deep dive into new UT/Texas Politics Project Poll data revealing nuances in Texans' views of abortion not captured in broad labels like "pro-life" and "pro-choice."

Read more...

Keywords: Abortion

Assessing the competitiveness of the Trump-Biden rematch in Texas

| By: Jim Henson and Joshua Blank

UT/Texas Politics Project polling suggests some weakness in Biden’s support when compared to this stage of the 2020 campaign among some key groups of Texas voters, akin to similar, widely-noted signs of erosion in support for Biden in some national polling data. At the same time, there are no signs of an immediate collapse in support for Biden even as he fights the gravity of presidential incumbency amidst an economy plagued by persistent rising prices, a dour mood among voters, and yet another unpredictable overall election environment.

Read more...

New University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll: Trump maintains 48%-40% lead over Biden in head-to-head Texas match-up

| By: Jim Henson and Joshua Blank

The latest University of Texas / Texas Politics Project Poll finds Donald Trump maintaining a comfortable lead over President Joe Biden in Texas as the legally embattled former president seeks to replace the man who defeated him four years ago. In a five-way trial ballot, Trump leads Biden by 9 points, 45% to 36%, followed by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. with 8%, and Cornel West and Jill Stein with 2% each. In a hypothetical head-to-head contest between the former and current residents of the White House, Trump leads by 8 points, 48% to 40%. 

Read more...

Job approval for Texas statewide incumbents and other assessment trend data from the Texas Politics Project poll data archive (April 2024 update)

| By: Texas Politics Project

This page compiles graphics for trends in job approval ratings of the current statewide incumbents (Governor, Lt. Governor, U.S. Senators) that Texans rate on every poll. Bookmark the page for easy reference – we’ve also added similar graphics for trends in Texans’ assessment of conditions in Texas and the U.S., and some archival results for comparison with leaders no longer in office, updated with results from the February 2024 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll.

Read more...

Second Reading Podcast: What the new UT/Texas Politics Project Poll does and doesn't tell up about the state of the 2024 election in Texas

| By: Texas Politics Project

Jim Henson, Daron Shaw, and Joshua Blank dig into the trial ballot results for the presidential and U.S. Senate races in Texas in the latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll. 
 

Read more...

Early soundings of the 2024 Presidential election in Texas

| By: Jim Henson and Joshua Blank

However contingent the outcome of the presidential election, with the primaries behind us and the summer and fall campaigns yet to unfold, the Texas Politics Project offers a deep archive of data to assess the public opinion context as the current presidential election moves to center stage. 

Read more...

Second Reading Podcast: What to make of the "contract with Texas"?

| By: Texas Politics Project

Jim Henson and Josh Blank talk about the politics and implications of the "Contract with Texas" recently distributed by a group of far-right Texas Republicans, and take notice of a new polling on the presidential and Senate races in Texas from the Texas Hispanic Policy Institute.

Read more...

Pages